How well do you know the polls in the Netherlands?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 61 for 4 November 2026.
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1In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “PRO largest party”?
88%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did D66 win at the Netherlands' 2025 election?
16.9%. See the page
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3At the Netherlands' 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 3 final polls. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
VVD with 21.3%, ahead of PRO on 14.8%. See the page
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5In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “D66 + VVD + CDA + PRO”?
15%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
21.3%. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give PVV in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
20 in our projection. See the page
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8Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
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9Which party has lost most support since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
D66: 16.9% then, 10.1% in our average now (−6.9 points). See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls furthest out?
2002: 2.4 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.