How well do you know the polls in Italy?

1. 1Which party has lost most support since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?

   +Europa Lega FI PD

2. 2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2018 election?

   25% 29% 33% 41%

3. 3At Italy's 2022 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   2.0 points 3.0 points 4.0 points 6.0 points

4. 4At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Lega M5S FdI PD

5. 5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FdI win at Italy's 2022 election?

   22% 26% 30% 34%

6. 6In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority in both chambers”?

   20% 35% 60% 85%

7. 7How many seats does our forecast give Centre-right in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?

   109 126 143 177

8. 8In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Lega clears 3%”?

   48% 63% 73% 88%

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FI win at Italy's 2008 election?

   29% 37% 41% 45%

10. 10How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?

    169 196 223 277

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.