How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 57 for 4 November 2026.
-
1At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls closest to the result?
2000: 0.4 points out per party on average. See the page
-
2How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?
73 in our projection. See the page
-
3Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2013 election?
CDU/CSU with 41.5%, ahead of SPD on 25.7%. See the page
-
4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2015 election?
37.6%. See the page
-
5How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?
63 in our projection, 13 short of a majority. See the page
-
6Which country's final polls have missed by most since 2000?
Italy: 2.6 points out per party on average over 6 elections. See the page
-
7At the United States' 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 34 final polls. See the page
-
8At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls closest to the result?
2019: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
-
9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
-
10In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “BSW clears 5%”?
5%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.