How well do you know the polls in Australia?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 57 for 4 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give Labor in the House of Representatives in Australia?
54 in our projection. See the page
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2In Australia, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
Labor: down 0.6 points, now 26.3%. See the page
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3Who leads the polls in Australia?
Labor on 26.3% in our average, ahead of One Nation on 26.2%. See the page
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4At Australia's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Coalition: 34.2% in the final polls, 31.8% on the day. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?
34.6%. See the page
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6In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2019 election?
Coalition with 41.4%, ahead of Labor on 33.3%. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2016 election?
Coalition with 42.0%, ahead of Labor on 34.7%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2022 election?
Coalition with 35.7%, ahead of Labor on 32.6%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.