How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 45 for 4 November 2026.
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1At the Netherlands' 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 3 final polls. See the page
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2Which party has gained most in the polls since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
AfD: 20.8% then, 27.4% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2025 election?
Labor with 34.6%, ahead of Coalition on 31.8%. See the page
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4At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 12 final polls. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2025 election?
43.8%. See the page
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6At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
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7At Germany's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Greens: 13.0% in the final polls, 11.6% on the day. See the page
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8Who leads the polls in Poland?
KO on 33.2% in our average, ahead of PiS on 22.5%. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2019 election?
Conservative with 34.3%, ahead of Liberal on 33.1%. See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
223 in our projection, a majority (201 needed). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.