How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 46 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2025 election?
Liberal with 43.8%, ahead of Conservative on 41.3%. See the page
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2Which country's final polls have missed by most since 2000?
Italy: 2.6 points out per party on average over 6 elections. See the page
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3How many seats does our forecast give Left (NFP and other left) in the Assemblée nationale in France?
282 in our projection, 7 short of a majority. See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
223 in our projection, a majority (201 needed). See the page
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5At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lega: 12.0% in the final polls, 8.8% on the day. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2015 election?
PiS with 37.6%, ahead of KO on 31.7%. See the page
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7At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls closest to the result?
2006: 1.1 points out per party on average. See the page
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8In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Philippe wins”?
6%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9In the United States, what chance does our forecast give for “Democratic Senate control”?
83%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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10Which party has gained most in the polls since Australia's last election?
One Nation: 6.4% then, 26.2% in our average now (+19.8 points). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.