How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 47 for 4 November 2026.
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1At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.9 points out per party on average. See the page
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2At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls furthest out?
2005: 4.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2025 election?
43.8%. See the page
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4Which party has lost most support since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Sumar: 12.3% then, 6.4% in our average now (−5.9 points). See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
VVD with 21.3%, ahead of PRO on 14.8%. See the page
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6In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen v Mélenchon in round two”?
72%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?
63 in our projection, 13 short of a majority. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
153 in our projection. See the page
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9At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lega: 12.0% in the final polls, 8.8% on the day. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2023 election?
PiS with 35.4%, ahead of KO on 30.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.