How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 44 for 4 November 2026.
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1At France's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.0 point per party, over 7 final polls. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at France's 2017 election?
Ensemble with 24.0%, ahead of RN on 21.3%. See the page
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3Which party has lost most support since Canada's last election (28 April 2025)?
Conservative: 41.3% then, 30.7% in our average now (−10.6 points). See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give CDU/CSU in the Bundestag in Germany?
148 in our projection. See the page
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5At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lab: 38.9% in the final polls, 34.7% on the day. See the page
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6Which party has gained most in the polls since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Vox: 12.4% then, 19.0% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
21.3%. See the page
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8At Canada's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Conservative: 38.9% in the final polls, 41.3% on the day. See the page
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9At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lega: 12.0% in the final polls, 8.8% on the day. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2018 election?
M5S with 32.7%, ahead of PD on 18.8%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.