How well do you know the polls in Australia?

1. 1At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls closest to the result?

   2013 2019 2016 2007

2. 2In Australia, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?

   One Nation Greens Coalition Labor

3. 3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2022 election?

   28% 32% 36% 44%

4. 4How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?

   47 55 63 79

5. 5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?

   33% 37% 41% 49%

6. 6How many seats does our forecast give Labor in the House of Representatives in Australia?

   42 48 54 60

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?

   27% 31% 35% 43%

8. 8Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2016 election?

   Coalition Labor Greens One Nation

9. 9At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Greens Coalition Labor

10. 10In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?

    57% 72% 82% 97%

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