How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 40 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2019 election?
Coalition with 41.4%, ahead of Labor on 33.3%. See the page
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2Which party has gained most in the polls since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Vox: 12.4% then, 19.0% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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3In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “PRO largest party”?
88%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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4Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2015 election?
39.5%. See the page
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6At Poland's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
TD: 10.7% in the final polls, 14.4% on the day. See the page
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7In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8At Spain's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.5 points per party, over 22 final polls. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2025 election?
43.8%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?
Con with 44.7%, ahead of Lab on 32.9%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.