How well do you know the polls in Italy?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 40 for 4 November 2026.
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1At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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2Which party has gained most in the polls since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?
AVS: 3.6% then, 6.3% in our average now (+2.6 points). See the page
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3Who leads the polls in Italy?
FdI on 27.7% in our average, ahead of PD on 20.3%. See the page
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4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FI win at Italy's 2008 election?
37.4%. See the page
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5At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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6In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority in both chambers”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give Centre-right in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
143 in our projection. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2013 election?
M5S with 25.6%, ahead of PD on 25.4%. See the page
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9How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
223 in our projection, a majority (201 needed). See the page
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10At Italy's 2022 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 21 final polls. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.