How well do you know the polls in Canada?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 40 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2025 election?
43.8%. See the page
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2At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls furthest out?
2004: 2.0 points out per party on average. See the page
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3At Canada's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.5 points per party, over 13 final polls. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls closest to the result?
2000: 0.4 points out per party on average. See the page
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5In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?
36%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2019 election?
34.3%. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2025 election?
Liberal with 43.8%, ahead of Conservative on 41.3%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2021 election?
Conservative with 33.7%, ahead of Liberal on 32.6%. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2015 election?
Liberal with 39.5%, ahead of Conservative on 31.9%. See the page
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10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2021 election?
33.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.