How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 41 for 4 November 2026.
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1At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls closest to the result?
2019: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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2In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls closest to the result?
2016: 0.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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4At the Netherlands' 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 3 final polls. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2025 election?
CDU/CSU with 28.5%, ahead of AfD on 20.8%. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2013 election?
25.6%. See the page
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7At which election since 2000 were France's final polls furthest out?
2022: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
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9At Germany's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Greens: 13.0% in the final polls, 11.6% on the day. See the page
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10Who leads the polls in France?
Le Pen on 34.2% in our average, ahead of Mélenchon on 16.8%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.