How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 29 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party won the most votes at Spain's April 2019 election?
PSOE with 28.7%, ahead of PP on 16.7%. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give PVV in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
20 in our projection. See the page
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3Who leads the polls in Canada?
Liberal on 46.2% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 30.7%. See the page
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4In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen v Mélenchon in round two”?
72%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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6At Spain's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
PSOE: 28.3% in the final polls, 31.7% on the day. See the page
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7At which election since 2000 were France's final polls furthest out?
2022: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?
Lab with 34.7%, ahead of Con on 24.4%. See the page
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9Which party has lost most support since Australia's last election?
Coalition: 31.8% then, 22.9% in our average now (−9.0 points). See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.