How well do you know the polls in Canada?

1. 1How many seats does our forecast give Liberal in the House of Commons in Canada?

   179 207 235 291

2. 2In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?

   11% 36% 61% 76%

3. 3At Canada's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   NDP Liberal Bloc Conservative

4. 4Who leads the polls in Canada?

   PPC Liberal NDP Conservative

5. 5At Canada's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Liberal Conservative Bloc NDP

6. 6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2019 election?

   26% 34% 38% 42%

7. 7Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2015 election?

   Conservative Bloc Liberal NDP

8. 8At Canada's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 1.5 points 2.0 points 3.0 points

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2015 election?

   35% 39% 43% 47%

10. 10At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls furthest out?

    2008 2019 2000 2004

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.