How well do you know the polls in Canada?

1. 1In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?

   11% 36% 61% 76%

2. 2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2019 election?

   26% 30% 34% 42%

3. 3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2021 election?

   26% 34% 38% 42%

4. 4Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2021 election?

   Conservative NDP Bloc Liberal

5. 5Which party has gained most in the polls since Canada's last election (28 April 2025)?

   Liberal Green Bloc NDP

6. 6Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2019 election?

   NDP Conservative Bloc Liberal

7. 7Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2025 election?

   NDP Liberal Bloc Conservative

8. 8At Canada's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   NDP Bloc Conservative Liberal

9. 9How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?

   55 64 73 91

10. 10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2025 election?

    36% 40% 44% 48%

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.