How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 30 for 4 November 2026.
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1Who leads the polls in France?
Le Pen on 34.2% in our average, ahead of Mélenchon on 16.8%. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?
63 in our projection, 13 short of a majority. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give AfD in the Bundestag in Germany?
197 in our projection, 119 short of a majority. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
43.4%. See the page
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6In France, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
Philippe: down 1.2 points, now 14.3%. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2021 election?
VVD with 21.9%, ahead of D66 on 15.0%. See the page
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8At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2015 election?
PP with 28.3%, ahead of Sumar on 24.4%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.