How well do you know the polls in the UK?

1. 1At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls closest to the result?

   2005 2019 2015 2017

2. 2Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?

   Lib Dem Lab Reform Con

3. 3Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?

   Lib Dem Con Lab Reform

4. 4In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour majority”?

   11% 36% 61% 76%

5. 5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?

   27% 35% 39% 43%

6. 6At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 4.0 points 6.0 points

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?

   30% 34% 38% 46%

8. 8How many seats does our forecast give Labour in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?

   243 281 319 395

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?

   37% 45% 49% 53%

10. 10How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?

    120 139 158 177

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.