How well do you know the polls in Australia?

1. 1Who leads the polls in Australia?

   Greens Coalition Labor One Nation

2. 2In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?

   32% 57% 82% 97%

3. 3At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls closest to the result?

   2010 2022 2019 2016

4. 4At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Coalition Labor Greens

5. 5In Australia, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?

   Coalition Greens Labor One Nation

6. 6How many seats does our forecast give Labor in the House of Representatives in Australia?

   41 48 55 69

7. 7Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2022 election?

   Greens Labor Coalition One Nation

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?

   27% 35% 39% 43%

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?

   33% 37% 41% 49%

10. 10At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls furthest out?

    2016 2022 2007 2010

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.