How well do you know the polls in the UK?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 31 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
Con with 37.7%, ahead of Lab on 31.2%. See the page
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2Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?
Lab with 34.7%, ahead of Con on 24.4%. See the page
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3At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.2 points per party, over 20 final polls. See the page
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4Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?
Labour on 28.6% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 22.1%. See the page
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5At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lab: 38.9% in the final polls, 34.7% on the day. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.9 points out per party on average. See the page
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7In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour largest party”?
94%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?
44.7%. See the page
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9How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
153 in our projection. See the page
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10In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour majority”?
45%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.