How well do you know the polls in Italy?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 31 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FdI win at Italy's 2022 election?
26.0%. See the page
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2Which party has lost most support since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?
Lega: 8.8% then, 5.7% in our average now (−3.1 points). See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2018 election?
32.7%. See the page
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4At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?
2008: 1.5 points out per party on average. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2013 election?
25.6%. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2013 election?
M5S with 25.6%, ahead of PD on 25.4%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2018 election?
M5S with 32.7%, ahead of PD on 18.8%. See the page
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9Who leads the polls in Italy?
FdI on 27.7% in our average, ahead of PD on 20.3%. See the page
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10In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.