How well do you know the polls in the UK?

1. 1At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Reform Lab Con Lib Dem

2. 2Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?

   Lab Lib Dem Green Con

3. 3In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Majority for any one party”?

   11% 36% 61% 76%

4. 4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?

   27% 31% 35% 39%

5. 5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?

   30% 34% 38% 42%

6. 6How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?

   139 158 177 196

7. 7Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?

   Labour Lib Dem Green Conservative

8. 8At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls furthest out?

   2017 2015 2019 2010

9. 9Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?

   Lab Con Lib Dem Reform

10. 10At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

    Con Reform Lab Lib Dem

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.