How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 21 for 3 November 2026.
-
1At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls furthest out?
2004: 5.0 points out per party on average. See the page
-
2At the United States' 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 34 final polls. See the page
-
3Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2013 election?
M5S with 25.6%, ahead of PD on 25.4%. See the page
-
4At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls closest to the result?
2000: 0.4 points out per party on average. See the page
-
5Which party won the most votes at France's 2022 election?
Ensemble with 27.9%, ahead of RN on 23.2%. See the page
-
6At Germany's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.2 points per party, over 13 final polls. See the page
-
7At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls furthest out?
2002: 2.4 points out per party on average. See the page
-
8At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls closest to the result?
2015: 0.5 points out per party on average. See the page
-
9In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “FDP clears 5%”?
24%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
-
10At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.