How well do you know the polls in the Netherlands?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 49 for 4 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give PVV in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
20 in our projection. See the page
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2Who leads the polls in the Netherlands?
PRO on 18.8% in our average, ahead of PVV on 12.6%. See the page
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3Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
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4In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “PRO largest”?
88%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls closest to the result?
2006: 1.1 points out per party on average. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did D66 win at the Netherlands' 2025 election?
16.9%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2025 election?
D66 with 16.9%, ahead of PVV on 16.7%. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PVV win at the Netherlands' 2023 election?
23.5%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2023 election?
PVV with 23.5%, ahead of PRO on 15.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.