How well do you know the polls in Italy?

1. 1At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls closest to the result?

   2008 2013 2018 2006

2. 2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FdI win at Italy's 2022 election?

   18% 26% 30% 34%

3. 3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2013 election?

   18% 22% 26% 30%

4. 4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FI win at Italy's 2008 election?

   29% 33% 37% 41%

5. 5At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   M5S FdI Lega PD

6. 6How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?

   196 223 250 277

7. 7Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2013 election?

   Lega PD FI M5S

8. 8At Italy's 2022 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   M5S PD FdI Lega

9. 9At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls furthest out?

   2013 2008 2022 2018

10. 10In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Centre-left majority”?

    20% 35% 60% 85%

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