How well do you know the polls in Poland?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 49 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did KO win at Poland's 2011 election?
39.2%. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give PiS in the Sejm in Poland?
132 in our projection. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2011 election?
KO with 39.2%, ahead of PiS on 29.9%. See the page
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4In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority in both chambers”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5At which election since 2000 were Poland's final polls furthest out?
2005: 4.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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6At Poland's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PiS: 36.8% in the final polls, 35.4% on the day. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2015 election?
37.6%. See the page
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8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2023 election?
35.4%. See the page
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9In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Right-wing majority”?
91%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Poland's 2015 election?
PiS with 37.6%, ahead of KO on 31.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.