How well do you know the polls in the Netherlands?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 33 for 4 November 2026.
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1In the Netherlands, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
D66: down 1.0 point, now 10.1%. See the page
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2In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “D66 + VVD + CDA + PRO”?
15%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3Who leads the polls in the Netherlands?
PRO on 18.8% in our average, ahead of PVV on 12.6%. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls furthest out?
2002: 2.4 points out per party on average. See the page
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5At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
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6At the Netherlands' 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 3 final polls. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
21.3%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2017 election?
VVD with 21.3%, ahead of PRO on 14.8%. See the page
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9At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
VVD: 12.0% in the final polls, 14.2% on the day. See the page
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10Which party has lost most support since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
D66: 16.9% then, 10.1% in our average now (−6.9 points). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.