How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 33 for 4 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give KO in the Sejm in Poland?
191 in our projection, 40 short of a majority. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give Left (NFP and other left) in the Assemblée nationale in France?
282 in our projection, 7 short of a majority. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?
44.7%. See the page
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4In the United States, what chance does our forecast give for “Democratic Senate control”?
83%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2022 election?
FdI with 26.0%, ahead of PD on 19.0%. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2019 election?
Conservative with 34.3%, ahead of Liberal on 33.1%. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Ensemble win at France's 2017 election?
24.0%. See the page
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8In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour largest party”?
94%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9Who leads the polls in Canada?
Liberal on 46.2% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 30.7%. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls furthest out?
2016: 2.8 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.