How well do you know the polls in Australia?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 33 for 4 November 2026.
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1At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Labor: 31.9% in the final polls, 34.6% on the day. See the page
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2Which party has lost most support since Australia's last election?
Coalition: 31.8% then, 22.9% in our average now (−9.0 points). See the page
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3In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?
60%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were Australia's final polls closest to the result?
2016: 0.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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5How many seats does our forecast give Labor in the House of Representatives in Australia?
54 in our projection. See the page
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6Who leads the polls in Australia?
Labor on 26.3% in our average, ahead of One Nation on 26.2%. See the page
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7Which party has gained most in the polls since Australia's last election?
One Nation: 6.4% then, 26.2% in our average now (+19.8 points). See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2019 election?
Coalition with 41.4%, ahead of Labor on 33.3%. See the page
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9At Australia's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.0 points per party, over 10 final polls. See the page
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10To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2022 election?
35.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.