Bielany: KO would still come first on today's polls
Bielany (Mazowieckie) has 98,322 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.
- 98,322voters
- 43.1%KO on today's polls (Poland: 33.2%)
- 41.1%KO, first at the Sejm election of October 2023
Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023
- KO 41.1% → 43.1%
- Konfederacja 6.3% → 19.6%
- Lewica 12.4% → 14.5%
- PiS 24.7% → 13.4%
- Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 4.7%
- Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 13.1% → 3.9%
- Others 2.6% → 0.6%
Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Bielany (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every gmina
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Bielany
Bielany has 98,322 voters, the 7th largest of 331 in Mazowieckie and 31st of 2,494 across Poland.
At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted KO 41.1%, PiS 24.7%, Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 13.1%. PiS did 11 points worse here than across Poland.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has KO on 43.1% and Konfederacja on 19.6%.
Gminy of a similar size in Mazowieckie
- Białołęka101,208 voters · KO first
- Targówek94,655 voters · KO first
- Bemowo93,786 voters · KO first
- Wola110,165 voters · KO first
- Płock86,942 voters · KO first
- Ursynów112,190 voters · KO first
- Śródmieście82,541 voters · KO first
- Praga-Południe139,757 voters · KO first
Every gmina in Mazowieckie → · All of Poland →
Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.