Poland Parliamentary electionby 11 Nov 2027in 374 days Government majority 7% Right-wing majority 91% Calendar Track record Research
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Poland · The threshold

Lewica, Rozwój Plus and Razem on the edge of Poland's threshold

To win seats a party needs 5% for a party, 8% for a coalition committee. Lists registered by a coalition of parties need 8%; national minority lists, such as the German Minority, are exempt.

Every party against the line

  1. KO33.2% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  2. PiS22.5% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  3. Konfederacja13.1% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  4. KKP9.7% on our projection over 99% to clear it
  5. Lewica6.6% on our projection 94% to clear it
  6. Rozwój Plus5.1% on our projection 53% to clear it
  7. Razem3.9% on our projection 12% to clear it
  8. PSL3.6% on our projection 6% to clear it
  9. Polska 20501.4% on our projection under 1% to clear it

The black line marks the threshold. The chance allows for how far final polls usually miss for a party of that size (about a point at 5%) as if the election were held today; months out, polls move more than that. Our projection → · Build a coalition →