Ursynów: KO would still come first on today's polls
Ursynów (Mazowieckie) has 112,190 voters. Below: how it voted at the Sejm election of October 2023, and the same figures moved to today's national polls. The next local elections are in spring 2029.
- 112,190voters
- 47.6%KO on today's polls (Poland: 33.2%)
- 46.3%KO, first at the Sejm election of October 2023
Today's polls here, against the Sejm election of October 2023
- KO 46.3% → 47.6%
- Konfederacja 5.9% → 18.6%
- Lewica 12.4% → 14.3%
- PiS 18.6% → 10.0%
- Rozwój Plus 0.0% → 4.7%
- Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 14.6% → 4.4%
- Others 2.1% → 0.5%
Pale bar: the Sejm election of October 2023; solid: today's national polls carried down to Ursynów (each party moves by its national change, half by the same number of points and half in proportion, scaled so that every gmina adds up to the national average). Our national polls: Poland forecast →
What if the national vote changes? Every gmina
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 2,494 gminy with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
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About Ursynów
Ursynów has 112,190 voters, the 4th largest of 331 in Mazowieckie and 24th of 2,494 across Poland.
At the Sejm election of October 2023 it voted KO 46.3%, PiS 18.6%, Third Way (PSL, Poland 2050) 14.6%. PiS did 17 points worse here than across Poland.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection here has KO on 47.6% and Konfederacja on 18.6%.
Gminy of a similar size in Mazowieckie
- Wola110,165 voters · KO first
- Białołęka101,208 voters · KO first
- Bielany98,322 voters · KO first
- Targówek94,655 voters · KO first
- Bemowo93,786 voters · KO first
- Praga-Południe139,757 voters · KO first
- Płock86,942 voters · KO first
- Radom150,435 voters · KO first
Every gmina in Mazowieckie → · All of Poland →
Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza: Sejm election of 15 October 2023, list votes by gmina.