Italy General electionby 22 Dec 2027in 415 days Centre-left majority 60% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election

BiDiMedia, 19 October 2026

BiDiMedia has FdI ahead of PD by 6 points, 26.5% to 20.5%. Since its previous poll (6 September 2026): FdI +1.1 (25.4 → 26.5).

Fieldwork17 October 2026 – 19 October 2026
Sample1,000
MethodCAWI (online)
Release
In our averageNo: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window

Main

%
Giorgia MeloniFdI 26.5
Elly SchleinPD 20.5
Giuseppe ConteM5S 12
FN 7.2
Antonio TajaniFI 6.6
Angelo BonelliAVS 6.6
Others 5.8
Matteo SalviniLega 5.4
Carlo CalendaAzione 3
Matteo RenziIV 2
ScN 1.4
Riccardo Magi+Europa 1.1
Maurizio LupiNM 1
PLD 0.8

Against the other polls

Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 13 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.

BiDiMedia's previous poll, 6 September 2026 →

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