New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
Ipsos Italia, 29 October 2026
Ipsos Italia has FdI ahead of PD by 6.8 points, 26.7% to 19.9%. Since its previous poll (24 September 2026): FI −1 (7.3 → 6.3).
| Fieldwork | 26 October 2026 – 29 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 1,000 |
| Method | CATI-CAWI (not re-verified) |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
26.7 |
 PD |
19.9 |
 M5S |
14.9 |
| FN | 7.9 |
 FI |
6.3 |
 AVS |
6.3 |
 Lega |
5.6 |
| Others | 4.8 |
 Azione |
3 |
 IV |
2 |
 +Europa |
1.8 |
 NM |
0.8 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 7 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: M5S 14.9% against 12.5%.