France Prochaine élection18 avr 2027dans 167 jours Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendrier Bilan des sondages Recherche
Closest

Toulon: Josée Massi's list won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Toulon (Var, INSEE 83137) has 107,721 registered voters. Its council has 59 seats; the 2026 municipal election went to a second round on 22 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round two, 22 March · 61,415 voted, 60,346 valid votes

  1. TOULON MON PARTILed by Josée Massi · Miscellaneous right 52.4% · 31,593 · 45 seats
  2. UN AVENIR POUR TOULONLed by Laure Lavalette · Rassemblement National 47.6% · 28,753 · 14 seats

Round one, 15 March · 59,490 voted, 58,730 valid votes

  1. UN AVENIR POUR TOULONRassemblement National 42.1% · 24,696
  2. TOULON MON PARTIMiscellaneous right 29.5% · 17,350
  3. TOULON EN GRAND !Les Républicains 15.7% · 9,224
  4. TOULON EN COMMUNUnion of the left 8.4% · 4,920
  5. Liste d'union populaire avec la France InsoumiseFrance Unbowed 3.8% · 2,242
  6. LUTTE OUVRIÈRE - LE CAMP DES TRAVAILLEURSFar left 0.5% · 298

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Toulon

Toulon is a commune in Var with 107,721 registered voters, the largest of the département's 153 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 55.2% of them voted, fewer than the 58% across Var, and the list led by Josée Massi won 45 of the council's 59 seats after a second round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 25.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 24.2%, France Unbowed 19.6%. Reconquête did 7 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 38.1%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 14.4%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Toulon from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 38.1% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 14.4% · France 16.8%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 12.4% · France 14.3%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 11.8% · France 13.4%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 8.7% · France 3.8%
  6. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.8% · France 7.6%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.5% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 2.3% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.6% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 25.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 24.2% · France Unbowed 19.6% · Reconquête 13.7% · Republicans 4.8%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Var

Every commune in Var → · All of France →