France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
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France · Every commune · Var

Saint-Raphaël: Ensemble, aujourd'hui et pour demain. won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Saint-Raphaël (Var, INSEE 83118) has 32,232 registered voters. Its council has 39 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 17,489 voted, 16,972 valid votes

  1. Ensemble, aujourd'hui et pour demain.Les Républicains 65.6% · 11,142 · 33 seats
  2. CROIRE ET FAIRE POUR LES RAPHAËLOISES ET LES RAPHAËLOISMiscellaneous right 20.8% · 3,536 · 4 seats
  3. ma Ville, ma PlanèteEcologist 13.5% · 2,294 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Saint-Raphaël from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 40.2% · France 34.2%
  2. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 14.2% · France 14.3%
  3. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 12.2% · France 7.6%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 10.5% · France 13.4%
  5. Éric ZemmourReconquête 9.7% · France 3.8%
  6. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 7.4% · France 16.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 2.4% · France 2.1%
  8. Marine TondelierGreens 1.8% · France 2.9%
  9. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 1.2% · France 2.0%

In 2022, round one here: Ensemble (Macron camp) 28.0% · National Rally 27.7% · Reconquête 15.4% · France Unbowed 10.3% · Republicans 8.3%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Var

Every commune in Var → · All of France →