Polls · Presidential 2027, round one
Ipsos, 22 October 2026
Ipsos has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 16.5 points, 33.5% to 17%. Since its previous poll (9 September 2026): Jean-Luc Mélenchon +1.5 (15.5 → 17), Raphaël Glucksmann +1.5 (11.5 → 13), Édouard Philippe −1 (14 → 13).
| Fieldwork | 21 October 2026 – 22 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 24 October 2026 |
| For | Le Parisien |
| Sample | 1,500 |
| Method | Online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Read automatically from Commission des sondages notice 2357 (10338 Pres IV IPSOS BVA Le Parisien 24 octobre)
Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.
H1: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | |
|---|---|
 Marine Le Pen |
33.5 |
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
17 |
 Raphaël Glucksmann |
13 |
 Édouard Philippe |
13 |
 Bruno Retailleau |
7.5 |
 Éric Zemmour |
4.5 |
 Gabriel Attal |
4 |
 Marine Tondelier |
3.5 |
 Fabien Roussel |
2 |
 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
1.5 |
 Nathalie Arthaud |
0.5 |
H2: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | |
|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
33.5 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
17 |
| Édouard Philippe |
15 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
14 |
| Bruno Retailleau |
8 |
| Éric Zemmour |
4.5 |
| Marine Tondelier |
3.5 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
2 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.5 |
H3: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | |
|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
33.5 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
17 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
15.5 |
| Bruno Retailleau |
11.5 |
| Gabriel Attal |
9.5 |
| Éric Zemmour |
4.5 |
| Marine Tondelier |
3.5 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2.5 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
2 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.5 |
H4: Arthaud, Roussel, Mélenchon, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Lisnard, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | |
|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
32 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
17 |
| Édouard Philippe |
14 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
13 |
 David Lisnard |
6.5 |
| Bruno Retailleau |
5.5 |
| Éric Zemmour |
4 |
| Marine Tondelier |
3.5 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2.5 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
1.5 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.5 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 7 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Édouard Philippe 13% against 15%; Bruno Retailleau 7.5% against 6%.