Polls · Presidential 2027, round one
Cluster17, 22 October 2026
Cluster17 has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 14.4 points, 32.9% to 18.5%. Since its previous poll (15 October 2026): Raphaël Glucksmann +2.1 (11 → 13.1), Marine Le Pen +1.7 (31.2 → 32.9), Bruno Retailleau +1.4 (6.8 → 8.2).
| Fieldwork | 19 October 2026 – 22 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Published | 26 October 2026 |
| For | Politico |
| Sample | 2,817 |
| Method | Online |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes: it is this pollster's latest |
Commission des sondages notice: 10339 Pres IV CLUSTER17 Politico 26 octobre Share = weighted (Redressé) figure as printed in the notice, before the pollster's rounding; RawShare = Brut
Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.
H1: Retailleau, Philippe, Zemmour, Roussel, Mélenchon, Le Pen, Tondelier, Arthaud, Dupont-Aignan, Glucksmann
| % | Raw | |
|---|---|---|
 Marine Le Pen |
32.9 | 28.2 |
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
18.5 | 21.3 |
 Édouard Philippe |
16 | 14.8 |
 Raphaël Glucksmann |
13.1 | 14.9 |
 Bruno Retailleau |
8.2 | 7.9 |
 Éric Zemmour |
3.8 | 4.6 |
 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
3 | 3.3 |
 Fabien Roussel |
2 | 2 |
 Marine Tondelier |
2 | 2.3 |
 Nathalie Arthaud |
0.4 | 0.7 |
H2: Retailleau, Zemmour, Roussel, Attal, Mélenchon, Le Pen, Tondelier, Arthaud, Dupont-Aignan, Glucksmann
| % | Raw | |
|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
32.5 | 28.2 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
19.6 | 22.1 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
14.2 | 15.8 |
 Gabriel Attal |
11.9 | 11.3 |
| Bruno Retailleau |
10.2 | 9.5 |
| Éric Zemmour |
3.9 | 4.7 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
3.5 | 3.5 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2 | 2.1 |
| Marine Tondelier |
1.8 | 2.1 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.4 | 0.7 |
H3: Retailleau, Lisnard, Philippe, Roussel, Hollande, Mélenchon, Le Pen, Tondelier, Arthaud, Dupont-Aignan, Zemmour
| % | Raw | |
|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
30.4 | 26 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
19.5 | 22.5 |
| Édouard Philippe |
17.1 | 16.4 |
 David Lisnard |
7.8 | 8.1 |
| Bruno Retailleau |
6.9 | 6.1 |
 François Hollande |
6.5 | 7.8 |
| Éric Zemmour |
3.6 | 4.3 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
3 | 3.2 |
| Marine Tondelier |
2.4 | 2.7 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2.1 | 2.2 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.7 | 0.7 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 6 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Édouard Philippe 16% against 12.5%; Jean-Luc Mélenchon 18.5% against 16.3%.