Polls · Presidential 2027, round one
Cluster17 has Marine Le Pen ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 13 points, 31.2% to 18.2%. Since its previous poll (16 September 2026): Édouard Philippe −2.2 (19 → 16.8), Raphaël Glucksmann −1 (12 → 11).
| Fieldwork | 14 October 2026 – 15 October 2026 |
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| Published | 18 October 2026 |
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| For | Le Point |
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| Sample | 1,187 |
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| Method | Online |
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| Release | release |
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| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
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Commission des sondages notice: 10325 Pres Focus droite et centre CLUSTER17 Le Point 18 octobre Share = weighted (Redressé) figure as printed in the notice, before the pollster's rounding; RawShare = Brut
Every poll published in France must file a notice with the Commission des sondages setting out its sample, dates, question wording and weighting.
H1: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Lisnard, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | | Raw |
|---|
 Marine Le Pen |
31.2 |
|
27.4 |
 Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
18.2 |
|
18.9 |
 Édouard Philippe |
16.8 |
|
16.2 |
 Raphaël Glucksmann |
11 |
|
12.2 |
 David Lisnard |
7 |
|
7 |
 Bruno Retailleau |
6.8 |
|
6.2 |
 Éric Zemmour |
3 |
|
4.3 |
 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
2 |
|
2.6 |
 Marine Tondelier |
1.9 |
|
2.5 |
 Fabien Roussel |
1.6 |
|
2.3 |
 Nathalie Arthaud |
0.5 |
|
0.4 |
H2: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Philippe, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | | Raw |
|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
35.7 |
|
31.7 |
| Édouard Philippe |
20 |
|
19.6 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
19.8 |
|
20.2 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
11.9 |
|
13.2 |
| Éric Zemmour |
5.2 |
|
6.4 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
3 |
|
3.7 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2 |
|
2.6 |
| Marine Tondelier |
1.9 |
|
2.2 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.5 |
|
0.4 |
H3: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Retailleau, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | | Raw |
|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
34.4 |
|
31.1 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
20.1 |
|
20.4 |
| Bruno Retailleau |
17.6 |
|
16.1 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
16.2 |
|
18.2 |
| Éric Zemmour |
4.1 |
|
5.5 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
2.8 |
|
3.4 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2.2 |
|
2.7 |
| Marine Tondelier |
1.8 |
|
2.1 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.8 |
|
0.5 |
H4: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Lisnard, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | | Raw |
|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
35.5 |
|
31.7 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
20.6 |
|
20.7 |
| David Lisnard |
16.9 |
|
17 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
16.2 |
|
17.3 |
| Éric Zemmour |
3.9 |
|
4.9 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2.2 |
|
2.7 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
2.2 |
|
3 |
| Marine Tondelier |
1.8 |
|
2.2 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.7 |
|
0.5 |
H5: Arthaud, Mélenchon, Roussel, Tondelier, Glucksmann, Attal, Dupont-Aignan, Le Pen, Zemmour
| % | | Raw |
|---|
| Marine Le Pen |
35.4 |
|
31.9 |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon |
19.9 |
|
20.3 |
 Gabriel Attal |
17.1 |
|
17 |
| Raphaël Glucksmann |
13.6 |
|
14.9 |
| Éric Zemmour |
5.6 |
|
6.5 |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan |
3.5 |
|
4 |
| Fabien Roussel |
2.2 |
|
2.5 |
| Marine Tondelier |
1.9 |
|
2.3 |
| Nathalie Arthaud |
0.8 |
|
0.6 |
