Le Mesnil-Aubry: LE MESNIL-AUBRY, UNE PASSION COMMUNE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027
Le Mesnil-Aubry (Val-d'Oise, INSEE 95395) has 722 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.
- 722registered voters
- 74%turnout, 2026 round one
- 44.6%Marine Le Pen, 2027 round one here (France: 34.2%)
The municipal election, March 2026
Round one, 15 March · 533 voted, 526 valid votes
- LE MESNIL-AUBRY, UNE PASSION COMMUNENo label (small commune) 74.5% · 392 · 13 seats
- TOUS MESNILOISNo label (small commune) 25.5% · 134 · 2 seats
Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.
What if the national vote changes? Every commune
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Le Mesnil-Aubry
Le Mesnil-Aubry is a commune in Val-d'Oise with 722 registered voters, the 98th largest of the département's 183 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 73.8% of them voted, more than the 50.1% across Val-d'Oise, and LE MESNIL-AUBRY, UNE PASSION COMMUNE won 13 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.
In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 31.4%, France Unbowed 21.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.9%. National Rally did 8 points better here than across France.
Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44.6%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 15.2%.
The 2027 presidential election here, round one
Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Mesnil-Aubry from how it voted in 2022.
- Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.6% · France 34.2%
- Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 15.2% · France 16.8%
- Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.5% · France 14.3%
- Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 8.9% · France 13.4%
- Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.4% · France 7.6%
- Éric ZemmourReconquête 6.2% · France 3.8%
- Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.7% · France 2.1%
- Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.1% · France 2.0%
- Marine TondelierGreens 0.9% · France 2.9%
In 2022, round one here: National Rally 31.4% · France Unbowed 21.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.9% · Reconquête 10.7% · Republicans 4.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →
Communes of a similar size in Val-d'Oise
- Avernes716 voters · No label (small commune)
- Ableiges712 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Gervais687 voters · No label (small commune)
- Ronquerolles682 voters · No label (small commune)
- Boisemont670 voters · No label (small commune)
- Seugy795 voters · No label (small commune)
- Saint-Clair-sur-Epte641 voters · No label (small commune)
- Nointel625 voters · No label (small commune)