France Presidential election, round one18 Apr 2027in 167 days Le Pen wins 93% Philippe wins 6% Calendar Track record Research
Closest

Le Mesnil-Aubry: LE MESNIL-AUBRY, UNE PASSION COMMUNE won the town hall in 2026; Marine Le Pen would lead here in 2027

Le Mesnil-Aubry (Val-d'Oise, INSEE 95395) has 722 registered voters. Its council has 15 seats; the 2026 municipal election was settled in the first round on 15 March. The next municipal elections are in 2032; the presidential election is on 18 April 2027.

The municipal election, March 2026

Round one, 15 March · 533 voted, 526 valid votes

  1. LE MESNIL-AUBRY, UNE PASSION COMMUNENo label (small commune) 74.5% · 392 · 13 seats
  2. TOUS MESNILOISNo label (small commune) 25.5% · 134 · 2 seats

Official results, Ministère de l'Intérieur. Lists are labelled with the ministry's political "nuance"; lists in small communes carry none. The list that comes first takes half the seats as a bonus, and the rest are shared in proportion among lists over 5%.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every commune

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 34,778 communes with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last presidential election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Le Mesnil-Aubry

Le Mesnil-Aubry is a commune in Val-d'Oise with 722 registered voters, the 98th largest of the département's 183 communes. At the municipal election of March 2026 73.8% of them voted, more than the 50.1% across Val-d'Oise, and LE MESNIL-AUBRY, UNE PASSION COMMUNE won 13 of the council's 15 seats in the first round.

In the first round of the 2022 presidential election the commune voted National Rally 31.4%, France Unbowed 21.3%, Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.9%. National Rally did 8 points better here than across France.

Moved to today's national polls, our projection for the 2027 first round here has Marine Le Pen ahead on 44.6%, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 15.2%.

The 2027 presidential election here, round one

Our national forecast for round one, carried down to Le Mesnil-Aubry from how it voted in 2022.

  1. Marine Le PenNational Rally 44.6% · France 34.2%
  2. Jean-Luc MélenchonFrance Unbowed 15.2% · France 16.8%
  3. Édouard PhilippeEnsemble (Macron camp) 10.5% · France 14.3%
  4. Raphaël GlucksmannSocialists 8.9% · France 13.4%
  5. Bruno RetailleauRepublicans 7.4% · France 7.6%
  6. Éric ZemmourReconquête 6.2% · France 3.8%
  7. Nicolas Dupont-AignanSovereigntists 3.7% · France 2.1%
  8. Fabien RousselCommunist Party 2.1% · France 2.0%
  9. Marine TondelierGreens 0.9% · France 2.9%

In 2022, round one here: National Rally 31.4% · France Unbowed 21.3% · Ensemble (Macron camp) 20.9% · Reconquête 10.7% · Republicans 4.6%. Each political family moves by its national change since 2022 (half uniform, half proportional), scaled so that every commune adds up to our national forecast. The national forecast →

Communes of a similar size in Val-d'Oise

Every commune in Val-d'Oise → · All of France →