Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cuarte de Huerva: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cuarte de Huerva (Zaragoza, 14,169 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 13.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%
C.CUARTE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
CS-TÚ ARAGÓN−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%
CHA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cuarte de Huerva

Cuarte de Huerva is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 14,169 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 27.3% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 66.4% of the 9,628 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 27.3% → 25.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 13.9% → 21.3% 2 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 18.7% → 15.2% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. C.CUARTELocal lists 14.7% → 14.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. CS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 9.7% → 9.9% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CHALocal lists 6.0% → 6.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. FIALocal lists 2.7% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PARLocal lists 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,389 valid votes including 92 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cuarte de Huerva in size, in Zaragoza

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