Calatayud: PP would keep its majority
Calatayud (Zaragoza, 19,776 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 77%PP majority
- 8,973valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Calatayud
Calatayud is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 19,776 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 48.7% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 63% of the 14,246 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 77% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.7% → 47.9% 10 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.0% → 23.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 6.4% → 11.8% 1 → 2 councillors
- CS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 5.3% → 5.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- CHALocal lists 5.0% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- PARLocal lists 4.0% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,973 valid votes including 188 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.