Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Calatayud: PP would keep its majority

Calatayud (Zaragoza, 19,776 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 47.9% of the vote (2023: 48.7%) Majority 77%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 27.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%
CS-TÚ ARAGÓN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.4% of the vote (2023: 5.3%) Majority 0%
CHA+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.7% → 47.9% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.0% → 23.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.4% → 11.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 5.3% → 5.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CHALocal lists 5.0% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. PARLocal lists 4.0% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,973 valid votes including 188 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calatayud in size, in Zaragoza

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