Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alfajarín: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Alfajarín (Zaragoza, 2,434 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 20.6%) Majority 1%
AIA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 24.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 28.5%) Majority under 1%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
GA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Alfajarín

Alfajarín is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 2,434 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 28.5% of the vote and 3 seats; AIA was second with 3. 71.3% of the 1,853 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VOX would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 20.6% → 29.3% 2 → 4 councillors
  2. AIALocal lists 24.5% → 24.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 28.5% → 24.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 16.0% → 14.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. GASumar, Podemos and allies 8.7% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,321 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alfajarín in size, in Zaragoza

Every municipality in Zaragoza → · All of Spain →