Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Illueca: no list would have a majority, PAR largest

Illueca (Zaragoza, 2,746 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PAR±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.3% of the vote (2023: 35.8%) Majority 2%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.8% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority 1%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PARLocal lists 35.8% → 36.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.5% → 32.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 22.6% → 18.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.5% → 10.4% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,586 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Illueca in size, in Zaragoza

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