España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Alfajarín: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Alfajarín (Zaragoza, 2,434 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 20.6%) Majority 1%
AIA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 24.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 28.5%) Majority under 1%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
GA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 20.6% → 29.3% 2 → 4 councillors
  2. AIALocal lists 24.5% → 24.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 28.5% → 24.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 16.0% → 14.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. GASumar, Podemos and allies 8.7% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,321 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alfajarín in size, in Zaragoza

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