Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Medina del Campo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Medina del Campo (Valladolid, 20,183 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 41.3%) Majority 13%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 27.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
M1º-TV+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%
TLP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Medina del Campo

Medina del Campo is a municipality in the province of Valladolid with 20,183 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 225 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 41.3% of the vote and 10 seats; PSOE was second with 6. 64.9% of the 15,897 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.3% → 39.4% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.6% → 23.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.6% → 14.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. M1º-TVLocal lists 12.0% → 12.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  5. TLPLocal lists 6.4% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. UD.CALocal lists 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,318 valid votes including 160 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Medina del Campo in size, in Valladolid

Every municipality in Valladolid → · All of Spain →