España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Medina del Campo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Medina del Campo (Valladolid, 20,183 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 41.3%) Majority 13%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 27.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
M1º-TV+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%
TLP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.3% → 39.4% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.6% → 23.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.6% → 14.3% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. M1º-TVLocal lists 12.0% → 12.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  5. TLPLocal lists 6.4% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. UD.CALocal lists 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,318 valid votes including 160 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Medina del Campo in size, in Valladolid

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