Aldaia: PSOE would keep its majority
Aldaia (Valencia/València, 32,656 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 95%PSOE majority
- 16,740valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aldaia
Aldaia is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 32,656 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 58.5% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 67.6% of the 24,761 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 58.5% → 55.6% 14 → 13 councillors
- VOXVox 11.6% → 19.2% 2 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 17.5% → 17.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 7.1% → 4.8% 1 → 0 councillors
- EUPV - PODEM: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 3.1% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- DECIDIXLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,740 valid votes including 152 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.